DraftKings 2021 NFL Bets

Hello, DeGeNzZz.

For the last three months I have been tracking futures, player props, specials and everything else that you can bet on for the NFL on Draftkings (DKNG).

There have been various futures (i.e. EVERYTHING Green Bay) that I would have liked to take advantage of, but because I live in Ohio, I have not been able to get in on the action.

Legalize Sports betting, DeWine! #UNLEASHOHIO

FINALLY, this past weekend I made the trip across the border to Pennsylvania to put some money to work.

Check the bets I took below.

1. Jacksonville Receiving

   • D.J. Chark, Under 905.5 Receiving Yards

   • Laviska Shenault, Over 60.5 Regular Season Receptions

   Chark suffered a hairline fracture in his finger, which required surgery, sidelining the wide receiver for the remainder of camp and preseason. It has been reported that Chark should be ready to play week 1, however, I like betting on the ‘lack of continuity’ narrative that Chark should have with rookie Quarterback Trevor Lawrence. Of course, that means more chemistry between Lawrence and wide receivers Laviska Shenault and Marvin Jones. There is a very real chance that Chark ends the season as the number three receiver in Jacksonville, and I like betting on the talent of Shenault as the number one. 60 receptions is a low number for a number one wide receiver that should also see plenty of volume out of the slot. I almost took Marvin Jones over 825.5 receiving yards, but I don’t need all the smoke.

2. Tyler Lockett, Over 1000.5 Receiving Yards

   I want exposure to Russell Wilson and the passing attack with new offensive coordinator Shane Waldron expected to call a fast pace offense, potentially allowing Wilson to really #cook, calling his own plays. I prefer that exposure through Tyler Lockett, versus Wilson’s 4250.5 passing yards and DK Metcalf’s 1255.5 receiving yards.

3. Corey Davis, Over 4.5 Receiving TDs (-115)

   The beat writers have been buzzing about rookie wide receiver Elijah Moore. However, Moore is currently sidelined with a quadricep injury. In his preseason debut, Rookie Quarterback Zach Wilson started the game targeting Corey Davis four times. It appears there may be early chemistry between Wilson and Davis, and with Moore sidelined, I think the tandem continues to build continuity. Also, Davis is the most established red zone threat on the team standing at 6’3”.

4. Blake Jarwin, Under 525.5 Receiving Yards (-120)

   Jarwin is returning from an ACL tear and there is buzz in camp that Dalton Schultz, Jarwin’s 2020 replacement who was very productive, has been taking snaps with the first team. I think this could end up being a 1A,1B tight-end committee. Plus, Jarwin will have to compete for targets with the best wide receiver core in the league.

5. Arizona Cardinals Passing

   • Kyler Murray, Over 4150.5 Regular Season Passing Yards + DeAndre Hopkins, Over 7.5 Regular Season Receiving TDs (+225)

   • Rondale Moore, Over 545.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

   • A.J. Green Over, 545.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

   The logic behind each of these bets is the same. In competitive negative game scripts, Kyler Murray will exceed 4150.5 passing yards and through that, the Cardinal wide receivers thrive. 545.5 yards is an average bench mark for an above average tight end, Moore and Green should both see the volume to pass that mark. Hopkins is the clear #1 red zone option; running back, wide receiver, or tight end. Honestly, the Green over doesn’t exactly feel great (it actually feels disgustingly horrible), but my level of bullish on Murray and the Cardinals offense trumps Green’s ‘dust’ and injury risk.

6. Odell Beckham Jr., Over 69.5 Receptions (-115)

   I am not worried about his 2020 lack of production prior to his injury. It is sounding like Beckham is healthy and will be ready to play week 1, and if ready, Beckham has never received for under 74 receptions in all seasons where he has played 12 games, or more. He is the number one wide receiver on a team that is expected to be a Super Bowl contender, and is one of the most talented wide receivers in the NFL. Plus, who can pass a 69 over/under?

7. Trey Lance, Offensive Rookie Of The Year +800

   The number one draft selection, quarterback Trevor Lawrence is +300 as the preseason favorite to win Offensive Rookie Of The Year. I also thought of betting on Justin Fields at +650, but it came down to taking a chance that Lance is the starter for the 49ers by week 4 at the latest. If he is announced the starter tomorrow, I believe the odds would jump to +300 if not lower. Betting on early playing time, I like Lance over Lawrence and Fields because the 49ers are a legitimate Super Bowl contender. Good stats, bad record will lose to good stats, good record.

8. Matthew Stafford, MVP (+1800)

   Tied for the 9th best odds with Justin Herbert to win MVP, it would be off-brand not to be a #Matthew fan fish and take #Matthew to win MVP. Losing Cam Akers to a season-ending injury could mean unleashing a more pass-heavy offense under offensive mastermind head coach Sean McVay, who strives to be labeled the number one offensive genius in the NFL (sources). I could see a path where the Rams are the best team in Football and Stafford leads the NFL in passing yards and passing touchdowns.

9. Tennessee Titans Vs. Arizona Cardinals Week 1, Over 51.5 Points (-110)

   As the season nears, I expect bettors to flood into the over, driving the total higher. This game will be one of the highest targeted games for the first Sunday DFS slate.