Every DraftKings Slate Is Different
Hey there you disgusting buncha sickos.
I listen to and involve myself in many conversations about daily fantasy football, and DraftKings in particular. One thing I think casual DFS players fall victim to is taking away lessons that aren’t really there.
There are definitely some key concepts to understand if you want to consistently win money on DraftKings, and there are plenty of subtleties that you can pick up if you play enough. For instance, you can learn that on big slates, it’s usually not optimal to play double stacks in large-field tourneys, because it’s rare for both pass catchers to be a part of the nuts lineup. That’s a real takeaway.
What’s not a real takeaway is when you say something like, “Well, that’s it, I’m not playing a quarterback under $6,000 again” or “I will never play a running back and a tight end on the same team again” or any other dumb shit like that. Just because a particular strategy wasn’t right for one slate doesn’t mean it’s wrong. It just means it wasn’t the right move for that slate.
Every single DraftKings slate is different. There are slates when it makes sense to play a quarterback naked, and there are slates when it’ll make sense to stack a QB with his own defense (a strategy we refer to as ‘The Jameis’).
Just like you don’t want to avoid a player just because he burned you before, you should never avoid a certain strategy just because it didn’t work on a different slate. It’s just like Sun Tzu said: “You need to take it one slate at a time.” It’s amazing that he was spreading fantasy wisdom back in the 5th Century BC.