6 Biggest Offseason Fantasy F-Ups
I was hammering best ball drafts this offseason. Not surprisingly, I got a lot of things right and a lot of things wrong after four weeks of action. It would feel a bit douchey for me to go over the things I got right, so here’s some things I think I missed coming into the 2020 NFL season.
Not Enough Exposure
Aaron Jones: You had to weigh the situation with Jones vs. his clear talent. He was definitely set for TD regression, but that was already priced into his late-2nd price tag. Yes, the Packers drafted a RB, but it should have been easy to foresee a big role in the passing game for Jones.
At the same time, the Packers made unpredictable changes to their offense, including the #sharp move of utilizing more pre-snap motion, so it’s not like we could have seen the Packers’ offensive success coming.
Calvin Ridley: I got plenty of Ridley exposure, but I definitely pulled my foot off the pedal as the season neared. Ridley was the obvious breakout candidate in fantasy football this year, and offseason fatigue from hearing this take over and over again may have erroneously aroused my contrarian nature.
Tight End Whiffs
Chris Herndon: It was fine to get some Herndon exposure given his rookie-year flash and standing as the only legit target finder in Jets’ offense. But I took it overboard on my exposure for an Adam Gase player at a replaceable position.
Irv Smith Jr.: Same issue here. It was a fun theory to predict increased usage for Irv, and it was a fine place to take some shots. I just took it too far.
Usage Flops
D.J. Moore: I did start to question my D.J. Moore crush as we got closer to the season, but I was still too high with my WR7 outlook. I was too focused on Moore as a general third-year breakout candidate, instead of a new offensive system and major target competition.
J.K. Dobbins: My expectation was that the Ravens would use Ingram as the primary back to start the year, and mix in Dobbins as the No. 2. Bizarrely, the Ravens are using a 3-man rotation, with Gus Edwards seeing the most action in week 4.
I am a stupid person so take this as you will, but I think it would be wise to narrow this rotation down to two, to help the offense get into a better rhythm. I don’t have much experience as a professional athlete, but I feel like it’d be hard to get into the game when you’re coming out every other play or series.
I understand Gus Edwards has a great yards-per-carry average, but I think Dobbins could emulate this production while providing potential for explosive plays.
